What was the highest and lowest xG in a Premier League match this season? | Football

“What was the highest xG in a Premier League match this season?” Pippa Wright asks. “And which was the lowest?”

Our friends at Stats Perform have provided us with some more interesting data for the 2021-22 Premier League season, so let’s get started. The highest combined xG in a match was at the Etihad on Boxing Day, when Manchester City beat Leicester 4.17-2.41. The combined xG was 6.58, the actual score 6-3 for Manchester City.

The highest for a team was at Anfield in February, when Liverpool defeated Leeds 6-0. His xG that night was a slightly scary 5.36. That also led to the biggest disparity between xG in a match this season: 5.15. The mathematicians among you will be able to calculate that the Leeds xG was 0.21.

However, that was not the low of the season. Cruelly, if not entirely against it, that dubious award goes to Nuno Espírito Santo’s Tottenham Hotspur. When they lost 3-0 at Crystal Palace in mid-September, the match that started their collapse with Nuno, Spurs had an xG of just 0.07.

While we’re on the subject of shot shyness, the match with the lowest combined xG took place on the same day. Brighton snuck out a 1-0 win at Brentford, with Leandro Trossard’s late goal an affront to both the home team and the statistics: the combined xG for that game was 0.71 (Brentford 0.39-0.32 Brighton).

The most wasteful performance of the season came from Manchester United, who drew 0-0 at home to Watford in February despite an xG of 3.19. And the most ruthless was found with Manchester, when Manchester City had an xG of 3.25 against Leeds at the Etihad in December. Unlike United, they found a way to win: 7-0.

Premieres in Cup finals

“Has any player made his debut in a Cup final?” John Tumbridge asked In the past week. “Not including games early in the season, like the Community Shield.”

Let’s start with a couple of close efforts, including this one from Jack Hart. “It’s not his full debut, but Ryan Bertrand made his European debut for Chelsea in the 2012 Champions League final. did not do bad, either. As mentioned on that link, Trevor Francis made a memorable continental debut for Nottingham Forest, scoring the winning goal in the 1979 European Cup Final against Malmö.

“Chris Baird played 86 minutes in the 2003 FA Cup Final for Southampton, in only his second start (and fourth senior appearance) for the club,” notes Ricardio Sentulio. “His first game for him was as a substitute in the ominous 6-1 massacre at the hands of Arsenal. In the rematch at the Millennium Stadium, Southampton narrowly lost 1-0.

But so far, only one full debutant has been discovered in a Cup final, and it’s quite a famous name. “Paul Gascoigne made his debut for Middlesbrough in the 1998 League Cup Final, a dismal 2-0 loss to Chelsea,” writes Garry Brogden. “Gazza came on as a substitute after replacing Craig Hignett on the team; the story is that he gave his runner-up medal to Higgy after the game.”

Paul Gascoigne enters the scene at Wembley.
Paul Gascoigne enters the scene at Wembley. Photograph: Chris Lobina/Action Images/Sporting Picture

Centenary titles (redux)

In the past week, we watch clubs who won league titles in their centenary year, but there were a few that we missed out on.

“The Celtics were Scottish title winners in the 1987-88 season,” wrote Charlotte Larkin and several others. “They also won the Scottish Cup that season, completing a centenary Double.” Celtic were technically formed in 1887, before playing their first match in 1888, but that season was recognized by the club as their centenary.

On the other hand, Kári Tulinius has an unconventional example: “FC Copenhagen was formed in 1992 through the merger of two clubs, Kjøbenhavns Boldklub (founded in 1876) and Boldklubben 1903. FC Copenhagen won its third league title in 2003, 100 years later Boldklubben were founded.”

Finally, Dirk Maas has gone through the history books delicately to find five more examples:

  • Al Tilal (Yemen) founded in 1905, champions in 2005

  • Al Ahly (Egypt) founded in April 1907, champions in 2007

  • C.D. Olympia (Honduras) founded June 1912, champions in 2012

  • like a samaritan (Martinique): founded in 1920, champion in 2020

  • CS Herediano (Costa Rica): founded June 1921, champions in 2021

knowledge file

“In May 1969 my club Grimsby Town had our record minimum attendance for a home league game of 1,833,” Pete Green wrote in 2011. “In May 1972, 22,489 turned out to see us seal the Fourth Division title, meaning the crowd had grown more than 12-fold in three years. Can any other full-time English club claim such a sharp rise in support?

Tim Hill set the ball in motion: “Wigan Athletic posted a season-low 01-02 attendance of just 3,535 at home against Cambridge in their 4-1 win on 5 March 2002, but on 11 February 2006 , for their 1–0 loss to Liverpool, they recorded their highest home attendance of the season: 25,023. Not 12 times, just a measly 700% increase in attendance.”

Sticking to the North West, Stig Marstein added that “On December 8, 1998, Manchester City played Mansfield in the Auto Windscreens Trophy in front of 3,007 fans and in March 2004 they played Manchester United in front of 47,284. So 15 times bigger in just over five years.”

But Rob Egan did even better. “My team, Stevenage, went from 414 home fans at Wokingham Town in February 1993 to a crowd of 6,489 when they entertained Kidderminster Harriers less than four years later in January 1997. While this was in times out of the league I estimate this latter crowd to be more than 15 times larger. In fact, in November 1991 they played Leyton Wingate in front of 329 fans. So, in just over five years, the crowd grew 19-fold.”

knowledge file

Can you help?

“Liverpool played in three finals this year and didn’t score in any of them. Since two went into extra time, that’s five and a half hours without scoring. Is this a record? If not, who has gone without scoring in the finals the longest? asks Derek Robertson.

“Which British club has the oldest light towers still in use?” Gordon Smith asks.

Are Cesare, Paolo and Daniel Maldini the only grandfather, father and son to win a national league title with the same club? (Or there are other similar multi-generational feats)

—Josh Moritz (@JoshMoritz5) May 31, 2022

“The 2021 FA Cup Final was the 26th professional match for Leicester’s Luke Thomas, but the first in front of a crowd,” notes Simon Tyers. “Has anyone played more games since the beginning of his career completely in front of empty stands? Is there someone who made their debut during lockdown and has somehow never played in front of fans?

“Wednesday’s Copa Libertadores game between Peñarol and Colón featured a 30-minute stoppage in the second half,” writes Dustin Franklin. “Surely this has to be a record for added time?”

What is the most consecutive games played in different places? The nation, the team or the player would all be interesting (from lowest to highest difficulty…)

— Claire ????️ ⚧ ???? (@fuzzybluerain) May 31, 2022

“Tammy Abraham won the Champions League, the Super Cup and the Europa Conference League, but she didn’t win top-tier domestic trophies,” says Rob Lawshaw. “Which player has the most continental titles without a domestic one?

“My team, Fenerbahçe, has been led by winners of four intercontinental cups: Carlos Alberto Parreira (Copa América, Asian Cup), Holger Osieck (Gold Cup) and Luis Aragonés (Euros)”, writes Öndar Susam. “Can any team beat that?”

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